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This will help you make better picks on every market — particularly the 1-x With significantly lower odds than the market above, double chance allows you to cover two of the three outcomes in a football game. This means you can back the home team or draw, away team or draw, or either team to win.
Whilst you will win on this market very often because the outcome likelihood is high, the odds are low and they often factor in quite a large bookmaker margin meaning you will actually be at a loss in the long-term. You will have to find some extremely smart picks in order to be profitable in the double chance market. This is because the bookmaker overround is typically larger in this market. In this market, you will be betting on whether a match will have over 2.
Depending on the teams in question, odds in the over 2. You would find those extreme odds in matches featuring high-scoring teams like Barcelona or Real Madrid playing weak defences, or in the opposite scenario you could have two low-scoring, defensive teams playing one another.
On average, the odds in the over 2. You will also find markets commonly offered pre-match for 0. As previously mentioned, this makes it tough — but not impossible — to become profitable in the area long-term. There will also be huge variance due to the nature of betting at long odds.
Growing ever-more popular thanks to the Asian gambling market is handicap betting. There are greater handicaps available too, but the above is the most common and the odds will typically hover around evens for both selections — depending on the two teams in question, obviously.
If you bet on a team to win both halves and the result was at half-time and at full-time, that bet would lose. There are hundreds of total markets in football betting, both pre-match and with additional in-play markets too. The First Goalscorer market is known to have particularly poor odds outside of the favourite — and especially so on midfield and defensive players.
There will be markets out there that you can make profitable if you specialise in them. If you follow the football bookie bashing tips listed throughout this entire guide and apply them correctly to markets that you master, is it possible to become a profitable punter. Just because it is possible , it does not mean it is probable. The image shows the most commonly bet on correct scores in the match and the odds that many major bookmakers are offering on each selection.
If the odds are listed in bold, that means the bookmaker is top price in the market for that particular score.
These are shown in decimal odds. We are now going to compare the top price and average price in the bookies markets with the odds that are available on Betfair Exchange listed in blue:. Top Price 8, Average Price 7.
Top Price 9, Average Price 8. Top Price 10 , Average Price 9. Top Price 12 , Average Price Top Price 15 , Average Price Top Price 16 , Average Price Whilst this does not include all bookmakers in the market, the average is actually slightly higher in this instance than the total available average.
Spurs , Draw , Leicester , Draw because it works out as more profitable after fees. With the main odds in the correct score market, Betfair Exchange is the outright top price after commission in two of the seven markets. The exchange is significantly higher than the average odds available in all markets. An individual bookmaker may be best odds on one score in particular, but rarely or never will they be the best across all markets. Whilst you should seek to take the best price on any selection you make wherever possible, this can sometimes lead to accounts becoming restricted.
However, it should highlight that you should be taking the highest value possible in all circumstances. As you bet more often, you will probably find it much easier to spot value.
Value does not mean you will win every time. What it does mean is that — over time — the picks should end up in profit. It can be tough to battle through, but doing this is essential if you want to see the long-term positive results. They were playing away against 12th in the league, their star striker was suspended, and they went on to lose the match — despite dominating in both possession and shots. Their next match is away again — this time against 11th in the league, and this team happens to have a very similar playing style to the team that Arsenal previously lost to in the match shown above.
Their star striker has now returned from suspension. Their odds before this game and this is completely hypothetical are now 2. Their chances of winning this game have increased from the previous match thanks to their best goalscorer returning, and they were unlucky not to win the previous match even without him. Do you think the rest of the market have failed to pick up on something?
The size of each bet you place — or your stake — should be relative to the size of your betting bankroll. Your betting bankroll is the amount of money you have assigned to sports bets — and you should only bet what you can afford to lose.
To put it simply, the more value you believe to be in a bet, the bigger your stake should be. Even when you think there is value in a bet, you should protect your bankroll at all costs and look to grow it slowly. You will be betting very small percentages of your bankroll on football. It is too unpredictable and losing streaks can occur. There are a huge range of different sources that you can use for your pre-match betting statistics.
By researching a team and a fixture, you can make judgements over how you think a particular game should pan out. If an opportunity presents itself in-play, you should be in a good position to judge whether a bet seems logical, and therefore profitable. Remove all emotions when betting, keep a level head and try to not let any bias cloud your judgement. Also look for any particularly strange results and try to work out why they occurred — will the reason be the same this time around, or was it a one off?
A team might be in great form on paper, but do the stats back up those results? Your first port of call is to get to know the strengths and weaknesses of teams in specific leagues.
Some teams will be prolific in front of goal, while others will rely on a strong defence. These stats are easy to find. Naturally, this often translated to them being involved in low-scoring affairs.
Statistics do not always tell the full story and taking them at face value can lead to an oversight of the reasons for a team or player enduring a form slump. Many of the top teams face hectic schedules due to continental club competitions such as the Champions League, and these same teams can play over 50 games during the course of the season when domestic cup competitions are also taken into account.
Midweek fixtures for these sides are quickly followed up by weekend fixtures, and a busy schedule can open the door for an upset, particularly when teams have to endure a lot of travel within a short period of time. In the English Premier League, for example, there is no Christmas break, rather an abundance of fixtures for each team to negotiate across the end of December and start of January.
It is no surprise that certain teams falter during this period while others enjoy a spike in form. There are plenty of upsets, too, so the informed and savvy bettor should spot the value and wager accordingly.
There are no shortage of competitions to bet on in football, so narrowing down the list is crucial in a successful football betting strategy. Given the multi-tiered set up of football competitions across the globe, there are several leagues to bet on in each country, making it crucial to focus on ones that you have a sound knowledge of and are easy to follow rather than betting across a wide spread.
Covering a large amount of leagues internationally would require an excessive amount of time to do your research properly. That time and effort could be better spent on developing expert knowledge of a small list of leagues, as opposed to a general understanding of a wider spread.
You might already have a good understanding of a particular league by account of supporting a certain team, so that is a good starting point. Most football fans will also keep a keen eye on other competitions, particularly those that garner international attention. Generally the top divisions across Spain, England, Germany and Italy fall into that category, so that is another foundation on which you can build your strategy on.
Yet if you happen to have a sound knowledge of less popular leagues, do not hesitate to bet on them. You will find plenty of value in a market that is not as hotly contested as the others.
Unlike get-rich-quick schemes such as the lottery, sports betting provides people with the opportunity to control their investment. But not all football competitions should be treated the same by bettors; each has its own particularities that lead to unique patterns of play and outcomes. Here, we guide you through some of the specifics of betting on the English Premier League and offer up some strategies that can help you make it one of the most profitable competitions you bet on.
The English Premier League is a perfect example of a popular league with various avenues available for securing matchday information along with team and player statistics for free. The league receives more media coverage than any other, largely by account of a multi-billion-pound television rights agreement that sees it broadcast into more living rooms and pubs than any other league in the world.
This is just one way of sourcing your statistics, but there should be others. There are a host of other websites that detail the key statistics and fixtures that you should be aware of, so look far and wide. Once you have gathered the information, the next step is to learn how to apply it to the specifics of the league itself. Also, be wary of the managerial merry-go-round that can take place in the English Premier League.
From a betting perspective, this can be viewed as opportunity. A common occurrence is for a struggling team facing relegation to have a change of manager during the season and turn their fortunes around. All of sudden, lower-table sides start picking up draws or causing upsets, all at very attractive odds. In short, the form lines stack up more consistently in the English Premier League than they do in cup competitions.
The FA Cup, despite its rich history, is often a distraction for the top teams, who will field weaker sides during the earlier rounds, and the same is even more true of the League Cup. Granted, the above examples present an opportunity to back certain teams at good value, particularly in the case of the FA Cup where lower-league teams can make audacious runs into the later stage of the competition.
Put simply, there is generally much more to play for. Certain teams are fighting for survival, others want to qualify for European competitions and the best fight it out for top honours.
With each match having plenty riding on it, you can feel assured that teams go into them seeking the best result possible. That should give the bettor confidence that the research on the English Premier League will be backed up by the performances on the pitch. With the spotlight ever-focused on the Premier League, lower leagues often find themselves lost in the background. We all know how it is — the big fish get all the spoils, leaving the little guys fighting for scraps.
This is exactly how the world of football works: However, this same fact leads to no powerhouses in lower leagues that dominate for many consecutive seasons.
Whether we like it or not, sportsbooks dedicate most of their time and energy to the EPL and the Champions League. Luckily for us, this leads to a tendency of mistakenly valued lower league games. Continue reading to find out how you can exploit the lack of attention lower leagues receive. Watching matches builds instincts that you can use when football betting.
Use journalists and fan blogs for more important team-specific information. Home-away statistics greatly vary depending on the team, particularly in the lower leagues. This means some players may have to work a full or part-time shift close to matches, meaning away games can leave some players overly tired.
There are some big teams in the lower leagues with large stadiums and fan-bases. Players lacking experience may find it intimidating to play at these locations, giving the home team a sizeable advantage. Inexperienced, younger teams can play with less fear but they can also be more likely to be nervous in the situation, so you need to work out whether a team is more likely to be fearful or up for the challenge. Lacking resources and star-power, often a single injury to a key player could change the fortune of lower league teams.
Without having a surplus of talent, lower league teams with injuries are often forced to start subpar athletes. Keep an eye out for injuries to key players as these teams seldom have adequate replacement options. For the most part, the lower down the leagues you go, the worse the pitches are. Unfortunately, teams in League One, League Two and the Conference are unlikely to be able to afford high quality ground staff, and a number of teams will share grounds with other sports teams — like rugby.
As much as you and I may dislike the school of thought behind such tactics, it often leads to higher scoring games. What does this mean for you? Long-ball tactics are most effective in lower leagues where players lack tactical knowledge and the ability to pass the ball accurately. Poor quality pitches also fatigue players more quickly than a good quality pitch.
Look towards teams that have physically fit players to stand a greater chance in these conditions. This is a question that crops up a lot Alex. By using the risk-free bet strategy above, we can guarantee ourselves a nice profit rather than run the risk of making a loss.
People take punts all the time Martyn, they cant gub everybody and a few random bets arent going to make them home in on you! Well I dont think anyways, 25 is small fish.
Maybe we are fans of the club? You may not even be mbetting but if you arent giving value to the bookie.. You can adjust the figure if you wish. Your email address will not be published. Log in Log out. Newbies What is Matched Betting? What is a Betting Exchange? Offers for new sign ups.
Offers for existing customers with step-by-step guides on how to profit from each one! My Account Log out. What should I place my risk-free bet on? Betfair lay odds for the top few runners in the Enter the lay stake from the calculator at Betfair.
Potential profit or loss at Betfair for the possible outcomes. Comments If Tottenham win in overtime then neither of the bets bookie nor exchange will win. Reply May 14, at Reply May 15, at Reply July 22, at